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Welcome To The Exponential Age

Artificial Intelligence




Last year, a computer beat the best Go Player in the world: 10 years earlier than

expected.  In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.


There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future; only specialists will remain. 


Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5 to 10 years.


Uber is just a software tool, it doesn’t own any cars, and is now the biggest taxi

company in the world. 


Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although it doesn’t own any



Autonomous cars:  In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the public.  Around

2020, you won’t want to own a car anymore.  You will call a car with your phone, it will

show up at your location and drive you to your destination.


Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, insurance will become 100 times cheaper.


Real estate will change, because if you can work while you commute, people will move

further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.


Health:  The Tricorder X prize is announced.  Companies have begun to build a

medical device {called the “Tricorder” from Star Trek} that works with your phone,

which takes your retina scan and your blood sample as you breath into it.


Agriculture:  There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future.  Farmers in third

world countries can then become managers of their fields instead of working all day in

their fields.  Aeroponics will need much less water. 


Bitcoin is becoming mainstream and might even become the default reserve currency.


Education:  The cheapest smartphones are already at $10 in Africa and Asia.  By 2020,

70% of all humans will own a smartphone.  That means everyone has the same access

to world-class education.  The English app will be free, so that children in Africa can

become fluent in English within half a year.


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